# Polymarket puts the chance of U.S. and China agreeing to pace the AI frontier at 8%

Polymarket estimates an 8% chance that the United States and China will agree to pace the AI frontier, according to its prediction market.

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Source: Polymarket · Published 10/7/2026, 13:36:46

According to a [Polymarket prediction market](https://poly.market/gbcGsiC), there is an 8% chance that the United States and China will agree to pace the AI frontier.

Tags: Polymarket, AI Policy, Frontier Models

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